Decision conferencing is a procedure for developing models quickly, based on the knowledge and expertise of decision makers and subject matter experts.

HumRRO - Meeting

In decision conferencing, HumRRO modeling staff meet with clients or designated individuals to structure the problem to be modeled, identify and define relevant variables, and elicit critical information, develop an appropriate model, and recommend the most effective course of action to take, based on the results of the model. A model may be completed over the course of a one or two day meeting.

The Decision Conferencing Methodology

HumRRO has used decision conferencing to develop models to predict leader actions in dozens of situations.

Decision conferencing served to set the boundaries of the prediction problem; to identify, define, and describe the relevant variables; and estimate conditional probabilities. The resulting models then highlighted the uncertainty and specified the additional information that could be obtained to reduce any ambiguity.

HumRRO - Consulting