{"id":2018,"date":"2019-03-08T15:11:11","date_gmt":"2019-03-08T20:11:11","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/w3-prod.humrro.org\/dev\/corpsite_wp\/?page_id=2018"},"modified":"2019-06-26T13:37:23","modified_gmt":"2019-06-26T17:37:23","slug":"predictive-analytics","status":"publish","type":"page","link":"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/","title":{"rendered":"Predictive Analytics"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-1 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;padding-top:0px;padding-right:0px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:0px;margin-bottom: 45px;margin-top: 0px;border-width: 0px 0px 0px 0px;border-color:#eae9e9;border-style:solid;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-0 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-one-full fusion-column-first fusion-column-last\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:45px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><style type=\"text\/css\"><\/style><div class=\"fusion-title title fusion-title-1 fusion-sep-none fusion-title-center fusion-title-text fusion-title-size-one\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-right:0px;margin-bottom:31px;margin-left:0px;\"><h1 class=\"title-heading-center fusion-responsive-typography-calculated\" style=\"margin:0;color:#007db7;--fontSize:34;line-height:1.4;\">Our predictive analytic model methodologies:<\/h1><\/div><div class=\"fusion-section-separator section-separator triangle fusion-section-separator-1\"><div class=\"fusion-section-separator-svg\" style=\"border-bottom:1px solid #96C121;margin-left: 0px;margin-right: 0px;\"><div class=\"section-separator-icon icon fa-atom fas\" style=\"color:#007DB7;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/div><div class=\"divider-candy-arrow bottom\" style=\"top:0px;border-top-color: #ffffff;\"><\/div><div class=\"divider-candy bottom\" style=\"bottom:-21px;border-bottom:1px solid #96C121;border-left:1px solid #96C121;\"><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-section-separator-spacer\"><div class=\"fusion-section-separator-spacer-height\" style=\"height:1px;\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-1 fusion_builder_column_1_6 1_6 fusion-one-sixth fusion-column-first fusion-no-small-visibility fusion-no-medium-visibility\" style=\"width:16.666666666667%;width:calc(16.666666666667% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.16666666666667 ) );margin-right: 4%;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-2 fusion_builder_column_2_3 2_3 fusion-two-third\" style=\"width:66.666666666667%;width:calc(66.666666666667% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.66666666666667 ) );margin-right: 4%;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><ul class=\"fusion-checklist fusion-checklist-1\" style=\"font-size:16px;line-height:27.2px;\"><li style=\"background-color:rgba(255,255,255,0);\" class=\"fusion-li-item\"><span style=\"background-color:#a0ce4e;font-size:14.08px;height:27.2px;width:27.2px;margin-right:11.2px;\" class=\"icon-wrapper circle-yes\"><i class=\"fusion-li-icon fa-check fas\" style=\"color:#ffffff;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/span><div class=\"fusion-li-item-content\" style=\"margin-left:38.4px;color:#585858;\">\n<p>Are tailored to client needs and available information.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li><li style=\"background-color:rgba(255,255,255,0);\" class=\"fusion-li-item\"><span style=\"background-color:#a0ce4e;font-size:14.08px;height:27.2px;width:27.2px;margin-right:11.2px;\" class=\"icon-wrapper circle-yes\"><i class=\"fusion-li-icon fa-check fas\" style=\"color:#ffffff;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/span><div class=\"fusion-li-item-content\" style=\"margin-left:38.4px;color:#585858;\">\n<p>Help clients elicit the critical information required to develop the model.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li><li style=\"background-color:rgba(255,255,255,0);\" class=\"fusion-li-item\"><span style=\"background-color:#a0ce4e;font-size:14.08px;height:27.2px;width:27.2px;margin-right:11.2px;\" class=\"icon-wrapper circle-yes\"><i class=\"fusion-li-icon fa-check fas\" style=\"color:#ffffff;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/span><div class=\"fusion-li-item-content\" style=\"margin-left:38.4px;color:#585858;\">\n<p>Allow inferences to be made to predict the actions of individuals or groups.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li><li style=\"background-color:rgba(255,255,255,0);\" class=\"fusion-li-item\"><span style=\"background-color:#a0ce4e;font-size:14.08px;height:27.2px;width:27.2px;margin-right:11.2px;\" class=\"icon-wrapper circle-yes\"><i class=\"fusion-li-icon fa-check fas\" style=\"color:#ffffff;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/span><div class=\"fusion-li-item-content\" style=\"margin-left:38.4px;color:#585858;\">\n<p>Include validation of the model, when evaluative data are available.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li><li style=\"background-color:rgba(255,255,255,0);\" class=\"fusion-li-item\"><span style=\"background-color:#a0ce4e;font-size:14.08px;height:27.2px;width:27.2px;margin-right:11.2px;\" class=\"icon-wrapper circle-yes\"><i class=\"fusion-li-icon fa-check fas\" style=\"color:#ffffff;\" aria-hidden=\"true\"><\/i><\/span><div class=\"fusion-li-item-content\" style=\"margin-left:38.4px;color:#585858;\">\n<p>Complement data mining, anomaly detection, and social network analysis.<\/p>\n<\/div><\/li><\/ul><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-3 fusion_builder_column_1_6 1_6 fusion-one-sixth fusion-column-last fusion-no-small-visibility fusion-no-medium-visibility\" style=\"width:16.666666666667%;width:calc(16.666666666667% - ( ( 4% + 4% ) * 0.16666666666667 ) );margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-2 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;padding-top:0px;padding-right:0px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:0px;margin-bottom: 20px;margin-top: 0px;border-width: 0px 0px 0px 0px;border-color:#eae9e9;border-style:solid;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-4 fusion_builder_column_1_1 1_1 fusion-one-full fusion-column-first fusion-column-last\" style=\"margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-1\"><h2>Using Bayesian networks, HumRRO analysts are able to develop models to predict people\u2019s actions and make inferences about people.<\/h2>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-5 fusion_builder_column_2_3 2_3 fusion-two-third fusion-column-first\" style=\"width:66.666666666667%;width:calc(66.666666666667% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.66666666666667 ) );margin-right: 4%;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-2\"><p>HumRRO has developed a methodology for predicting leader actions, based on Bayesian networks, a procedure for model development, and software to support the method and procedure. We have leveraged this methodology to predict leader actions, infer leader personality variables, and integrate situational information with personality and culture information.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-6 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-last\" style=\"width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><span class=\" fusion-imageframe imageframe-none imageframe-1 hover-type-zoomin fusion-animated\" style=\"border-radius:10px;\" data-animationType=\"zoomIn\" data-animationDuration=\"0.3\" data-animationOffset=\"top-into-view\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"722\" height=\"475\" alt=\"HumRRO - Predictive Analytics\" title=\"HumRRO &#8211; Predictive Analytics\" src=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork.jpg\" class=\"lazyload img-responsive wp-image-2150\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%27722%27%20height%3D%27475%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%20722%20475%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%27722%27%20height%3D%27475%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork-200x132.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork-400x263.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork-600x395.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/LaptopDataNetwork.jpg 722w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/span><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-fullwidth fullwidth-box fusion-builder-row-3 nonhundred-percent-fullwidth non-hundred-percent-height-scrolling\" style=\"background-color: rgba(255,255,255,0);background-position: center center;background-repeat: no-repeat;padding-top:0px;padding-right:0px;padding-bottom:0px;padding-left:0px;margin-bottom: 0px;margin-top: 0px;border-width: 0px 0px 0px 0px;border-color:#eae9e9;border-style:solid;\" ><div class=\"fusion-builder-row fusion-row\"><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-7 fusion_builder_column_1_3 1_3 fusion-one-third fusion-column-first\" style=\"width:33.333333333333%;width:calc(33.333333333333% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.33333333333333 ) );margin-right: 4%;margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><span class=\" fusion-imageframe imageframe-none imageframe-2 hover-type-zoomin fusion-animated\" style=\"border-radius:10px;\" data-animationType=\"zoomIn\" data-animationDuration=\"0.3\" data-animationOffset=\"top-into-view\"><img decoding=\"async\" width=\"1024\" height=\"725\" alt=\"HumRRO Serves the Federal Government\" title=\"HumRRO Serves the Federal Government\" src=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552.jpg\" data-orig-src=\"..\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-1024x725.jpg\" class=\"lazyload img-responsive wp-image-1534\" srcset=\"data:image\/svg+xml,%3Csvg%20xmlns%3D%27http%3A%2F%2Fwww.w3.org%2F2000%2Fsvg%27%20width%3D%271508%27%20height%3D%271068%27%20viewBox%3D%270%200%201508%201068%27%3E%3Crect%20width%3D%271508%27%20height%3D%271068%27%20fill-opacity%3D%220%22%2F%3E%3C%2Fsvg%3E\" data-srcset=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-200x142.jpg 200w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-400x283.jpg 400w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-600x425.jpg 600w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-800x567.jpg 800w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552-1200x850.jpg 1200w, https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/02\/army.mil-38704-2009-05-29-160552.jpg 1508w\" data-sizes=\"auto\" data-orig-sizes=\"(max-width: 768px) 100vw, 400px\" \/><\/span><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><div class=\"fusion-layout-column fusion_builder_column fusion-builder-column-8 fusion_builder_column_2_3 2_3 fusion-two-third fusion-column-last\" style=\"width:66.666666666667%;width:calc(66.666666666667% - ( ( 4% ) * 0.66666666666667 ) );margin-top:0px;margin-bottom:20px;\"><div class=\"fusion-column-wrapper fusion-flex-column-wrapper-legacy\" style=\"background-position:left top;background-repeat:no-repeat;-webkit-background-size:cover;-moz-background-size:cover;-o-background-size:cover;background-size:cover;padding: 0px 0px 0px 0px;\"><div class=\"fusion-text fusion-text-3\"><p>In other applications of predictive analytics, we developed a competency model for collective military exercises. We provided expertise in dynamic psychological modeling, the psychology of insider attacks, and the connection between personality traits and behavior.<\/p>\n<\/div><div class=\"fusion-clearfix\"><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/div><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":0,"parent":87,"menu_order":0,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","template":"","meta":{"footnotes":""},"class_list":["post-2018","page","type-page","status-publish","hentry"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.2 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>Predictive Analytics | HumRRO<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Using Bayesian networks, HumRRO analysts are able to develop models to predict people\u2019s actions and make inferences about people.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Predictive Analytics | HumRRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Using Bayesian networks, HumRRO analysts are able to develop models to predict people\u2019s actions and make inferences about people.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"HumRRO\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"http:\/\/www.facebook.com\/pages\/Human-Resources-Research-Organization-HumRRO\/161583990533313\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2019-06-26T17:37:23+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/wp-content\/uploads\/2019\/03\/generic-featured-image.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"1200\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"628\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@HumRROorg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Est. reading time\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"7 minutes\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\/\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/\",\"url\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/\",\"name\":\"Predictive Analytics | HumRRO\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/#website\"},\"datePublished\":\"2019-03-08T20:11:11+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2019-06-26T17:37:23+00:00\",\"description\":\"Using Bayesian networks, HumRRO analysts are able to develop models to predict people\u2019s actions and make inferences about people.\",\"breadcrumb\":{\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/#breadcrumb\"},\"inLanguage\":\"en-US\",\"potentialAction\":[{\"@type\":\"ReadAction\",\"target\":[\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/\"]}]},{\"@type\":\"BreadcrumbList\",\"@id\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/modeling-simulation\/predictive-analytics\/#breadcrumb\",\"itemListElement\":[{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":1,\"name\":\"Home\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":2,\"name\":\"What We Do\",\"item\":\"https:\/\/www.humrro.org\/corpsite\/what-we-do\/\"},{\"@type\":\"ListItem\",\"position\":3,\"name\":\"Modeling &#038; 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